On Baysian Estimation of Loss of Estimators of Unknown Parameter of Binomial Distribution By Randhir Singh

Table of contents

1. Issue ersion I

V IV ( F ) Rukhin(1988) introduced a loss function given by, L(?, ?, ?) = w(?, ?)? ? 1 2 + ? 1 2

(1.1)

Where,? is an estimator of the loss function w(?, ?) ,which is non-negative. Guobing(2016) used this loss function and derived estimates of the loss and risk function of the parameter of Maxwell's distribution. Singh (2021) took various forms of w(?, ?) and derived estimates of the loss and risk function of the parameter of a continuous distribution which gives Half-normal distribution,Rayleigh distribution and Maxwell's distribution as particular cases. Rukhin(1988) considered the Bayesian estimation of the unknown parameter ? of the binomial distribution by taking

w(?, ?) = (? ? ?) 2 (1.2)

In this paper,Bayes estimate of the unknown parameter ? of the binomial distribution has been obtained by replacing w(?, ?) by w 1 (?, ?) given by

w 1 (?, ?) = h(?)(? ? ?) 2 (1.3)

Where,

h(?) = 1 {?(1 ? ?)} (1.4)

2. Notes

Summary-This paper aims at the Bayesian estimation for the loss and risk functions of the unknown parameter of the binomial distribution under the loss function which is different from that given by Rukhin(1988). The estimation involves beta distribution, a natural conjugate prior density function for the unknown parameter. Estimators obtained are conservatively biased and have finite frequentist risk. Let the random variable X follows binomial distribution with parameters n and ?.Where ? is unknown satisfying 0 ? ? ? 1.The prior p.d.f of ?,denoted by ? 1 (?) is as follows:

3. Global

? 1 (?) = ? ??1 (1??) ??1 B(?,?) if ? ? 0,? ? 0,0 < ? < 1 0 Otherwise (2.1)

Under the assumption of prior probability density function (p.d.f.) for ? as above,Bayes estimates of ? derived by Rukhin (1988) were as follows:

For ? ? 0, ? ? 0 ? B (X) = (X + ?) (n + ? + ?) (2.2) ? B (X) = (X + ?)(n + ? ? X) (n + ? + ?) 2 (n + ? + ? + 1) (2.3)

and for ? = 0, ? = 0

? 0 (X) = X n (2.4) ? 0 (X) = X(n ? X) n 2 (n + 1) (2.5)

It was shown that

E ? L(?, ? 0 , ? 0 ) = ? (2.6)

Under,w 1 (?, ?) as above, the corresponding Bayes estimate is given by, For ? ? 0, ? ? 0

? 1B (X) = E{?h(?)/X} E{h(?)/X} (2.7) Or, ? 1B (X) = (X + ? ? 1) A ? 2 (2.8)

On simplification,provided,A = n + ? + ? > 2 and,

? 1B (X) = E{?h(?)/X} ? {? 1B (X)} 2 E{h(?)/X} (2.9)

4. Notes

Estimation of Loss and Risk of the Parameter of Binomial Distribution II.

5. Issue ersion I V IV ( F )

On Baysian Estimation of Loss of Estimators of Unknown Parameter of Binomial Distribution

E ? L(?, ? 1B , ? 1B ) = E ? [h(?)(? ? (X + ? ? 1)(A ? 2) ?1 ) 2 ](A ? 2) 1/2 + (A ? 2) ?1/2 (2.11)

Or,

E ? L(?, ? 1B , ? 1B ) = [n+h(?)(1 ? ? + ?(? + ? ? 2)) 2 ](A?2) ?3/2 +(A?2) ?1/2 < ? (2.12) In this case, R(?, ? 1B ) = E ? {h(?)(? ? ? 1B )} 2 (2.13) Or, R(?, ? 1B ) = [n + h(?){1 ? ? + ?(? + ? ? 2)} 2 ](A ? 2) ?2 (2.14)

As mentioned by Keifer (1977),an estimator ?(X)is said to be conservatively biased if,

E ? {?(X)} ? R(?, ?) = E ? {w(?, ?)} (2.15)

In the light of this condition,? 0 (X) as given by Rukhin (1988) is not conservatively biased. In this case,

E ? {? 1B (X)} = 1 A ? 2 (2.16)

Let ? 0B (X) and ? 0B (X)be values of ? 1B (X) and ? 1B (X) ,respectively when,? = ? = 0.If possible let ,

E ? {? 0B (X)} ? R(?, ? 0B (2.17) which holds if, ?2? 2 + 2? ? 1 ? 0 (2.18)

which is a contradiction,since 0 < ? < 1 and maximum value of ?2? 2 + 2? ? 1 is? 1 2 which corresponds to ? = 1 2 .Moreover,?2? 2 + 2? ? 1 = ?1 for ? = 1 and ? = 0 Thus,? 0B (X) is not conservatively biased.

When ? = ? = 1,we have,

E ? {? 1B (X)} = R(?, ? 1B ) = 1 n (2.19) ) Or, ? 1B (X) = 1 A ? 2 (2.10) on simplification,provided,A = n + ? + ? > 2.

We,see that, in this case ? 1B (X) does not depend upon X and is function of n,? and ?

6. Notes

Issue ersion I V IV ( F )

On Baysian Estimation of Loss of Estimators of Unknown Parameter of Binomial Distribution g(?) is a monotonically increasing function of ? over the set S = (0, 1) ? {0.5}.Hence, ? 1B (X) as above,presents a valid 'frequentist report' as mentioned by Berger(1985).

The results are summerized in the following: THEOREM.Let (? 1B , ? 1B ) be Bayes estimators of the unknown parameter ? of the binomial distribution under the loss function L(?, ?, ?) =

1 {?(1??)} (? ??) 2 ? ? 1 2 +? 1 2

and beta prior density with known parameters ? and ?.Then,the frequentist risk E ? L(?, ? 1B , ? 1B ) is finite for all values of ? and ? provided 0 < ? < 1.For ? = ? = 0, ? 1B (X) is not conservatively biased. The estimator ? 1B (X) is conservatively biased for? = ? = 1 and for ? = ? > 1 satisfying ? ? 1 + 2?(1??) (2??1) 2 ,? = 0.5.However, if ? = ? > 1, ? = 0.5, ? 1B (X) is also conservatively biased.

When,? = ? > 1, ? = 0.

Figure 1.
of Loss of Estimators of Unknown Parameter of Binomial Distribution
Figure 2.
5,
which holds if E ? {? 1B (X)} ? R(?, ? 1B ) (2.21) Notes
? ? 1 + g(?) (2.22)
.Where,
g(?) = 2?(1 ? ?) (2? ? 1) 2 (2.23)
1

Appendix A

  1. Estimating the loss of estimators of a binomial parameter. A L Rukhin . Biometrika 1988. 75 p. .
  2. Estimation of the Loss and Risk Functions of parameter of Maxwell's distribution. Guobing Fan . 10.11648/j.sjams.20160404.12. Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics 2016. 2016. 4 (4) p. .
  3. The frequentist viewpoint and conditioning. J Berger . Proceedings of the Berkley Conference in Honor of Jerry Neyman and Jack Keifer, L Lecam, R Olshen (ed.) (the Berkley Conference in Honor of Jerry Neyman and Jack KeiferBelmont, Cailf
    ) 1985. Wadsworth. p. .
  4. Conditional confidence statements and con fidence estimators. J Keifer . J. Am. Statist. Assoc 1977. 72 p. .
  5. On Bayesian Estimation of Loss and Risk Functions. Randhir Singh . 10.11648/j.sjams.20210903.11. Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics 2021. 2021. 9 (3) p. .
Notes
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